Andy Burnham Wins Makerfield By-Election: Is Keir Starmer's Leadership Now at Risk?

Andy Burnham Wins Makerfield By-Election: The Vote That Could End Keir Starmer's Leadership

19 June 2026

A small post-industrial constituency in northwest England just triggered one of the most significant political moments Britain has seen in years. Andy Burnham, the mayor of Greater Manchester known to many as the "King of the North," won the Makerfield by-election on June 18, 2026 — and in doing so, cleared the last legal obstacle standing between him and a formal challenge for the Labour Party leadership.

The win was expected. What makes it remarkable is how it came about, and what it sets in motion.


Why the Makerfield By-Election Was Unlike Any Other in Six Decades


This was not a by-election triggered by a death, a scandal, or a court ruling. Josh Simons, the sitting Labour MP for Makerfield, resigned his seat deliberately — specifically to create the vacancy that Andy Burnham could contest. He was formally appointed Crown Steward and Bailiff of the Chiltern Hundreds on May 18, 2026, the technical mechanism through which British MPs vacate their seats.


Political historians have noted that the last time a by-election was specifically triggered to bring a figure into Parliament was the 1965 Leyton by-election, when Patrick Gordon Walker needed a seat after being appointed Foreign Secretary without being an MP. That comparison has not been lost on commentators the parallel carries the same sense of institutional machinery being bent in service of political necessity.

Simons resigned amid what has been described as the 2026 Labour leadership crisis, with as many as 97 Labour MPs calling on Prime Minister Keir Starmer to resign or announce a departure timetable. The Labour Party suffered significant losses in the 2026 local elections, and Starmer's approval ratings fell to what multiple polls described as the worst numbers of any British leader on record.


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What Burnham's Win Means for Labour Party Rules and the Leadership Contest


Here is where the constitutional mechanics matter. Under Labour Party leadership rules, only a serving member of the Parliamentary Labour Party can stand for the leadership. Burnham, as Greater Manchester mayor, was outside Westminster. That was the barrier.

The Makerfield by-election removed it. With a seat in the House of Commons, Burnham can now formally trigger a leadership challenge against Starmer, provided he secures the backing of at least 80 MPs to get his candidacy on the ballot.

Given that nearly 100 Labour MPs had already publicly called for Starmer to go before the by-election, the threshold looks reachable.

Burnham has stated publicly that if elected, he would challenge Starmer for the Labour leadership.


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What Happens to Greater Manchester Now


Burnham cannot hold both roles. The law is clear: a serving mayor of Greater Manchester is prohibited from simultaneously being an MP. Winning Makerfield means automatically vacating the mayoralty.

The statutory deputy mayor, Paul Dennett, takes over as acting mayor of Greater Manchester immediately. Dennett is also the directly elected mayor of Salford City Council, giving him experience in the role. A separate Greater Manchester mayoral by-election will be triggered to find Burnham's permanent successor.

Andy Burnham Wins Makerfield By-Election: Is Keir Starmer's Leadership Now at Risk?

It is worth noting that a provision in the 2026 act which would have formalised this process was not yet in force for this specific by-election, meaning the constitutional transition relied on existing arrangements under the Local Democracy, Economic Development and Construction Act 2009.


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Burnham's Political Position Heading Into the Leadership Race


Burnham was described as the most popular politician in Britain heading into the vote. His appeal has always been rooted in a regional directness that feels distinct from Westminster's more polished registers. He built his reputation partly through his role in managing Greater Manchester and partly through high-profile moments like his 2017 standoff with the then-Conservative government over transport funding, which he won publicly and memorably.

Starmer's government, by contrast, has been battered by a series of controversies, policy reversals, and what critics describe as a persistent communication gap with Labour's traditional voter base across northern England.


Closing Thoughts


A constituency that most people outside northwest England could not have placed on a map a month ago has just become the pivot point of British politics. Whether Andy Burnham ultimately becomes Labour leader — and, more distantly, Prime Minister — depends on what happens next inside the Parliamentary Labour Party.

But the by-election itself is already settled. Burnham is an MP. The door is open.


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FAQs

Why did Josh Simons resign his Makerfield seat?

Simons resigned specifically to allow Andy Burnham to contest a parliamentary seat, giving Burnham the MP status required under Labour Party rules to stand for the party leadership. It is the first time a by-election has been created for this purpose since 1965.

Can Andy Burnham be both Mayor of Greater Manchester and an MP?

No. The mayor of Greater Manchester is legally prohibited from simultaneously serving as an MP. By winning Makerfield, Burnham automatically vacated the mayoralty.

Who becomes Mayor of Greater Manchester after Burnham?

The statutory deputy mayor, Paul Dennett (also mayor of Salford City Council), becomes acting mayor immediately. A separate mayoral by-election will be held to elect a permanent replacement.

What does Burnham need to formally challenge Starmer for Labour leadership?

Under Labour Party rules, a leadership challenger must be an MP and secure the backing of at least 80 Labour MPs to be placed on the ballot. Burnham has now met the MP requirement by winning Makerfield.

Why is Keir Starmer facing a leadership challenge?

Starmer's Labour government has faced sustained pressure following significant losses in the 2026 local elections, historically low approval ratings described as the worst of any British leader on record, and a series of policy reversals and controversies. As many as 97 Labour MPs were publicly calling for his resignation before the Makerfield vote.

What is the significance of comparing Makerfield to the 1965 Leyton by-election?

Both by-elections were specifically created to bring a political figure into Parliament. The 1965 Leyton by-election was triggered to give Foreign Secretary Patrick Gordon Walker a parliamentary seat after he had been appointed to Cabinet without being an MP. Makerfield is the first instance of this kind of arranged by-election since then.

Andy Burnham Wins Makerfield By-Election: Is Keir Starmer's Leadership Now at Risk?